entrepreneurship

We’ve looked at the coming generation of business buyers, and many things about that picture aren’t pretty. When I present to business owners about the Boomer Bust, this is around the time that someone in the audience says “So, are we just screwed?”

No. There are things you can do to make your business more transferable, and more appealing to those buyers who will be looking for an opportunity.

First, remember that my generalizations about a generation are just that. Both words derive from the Latin root genus, which meant both “birth” and “type.” A historical comment: it’s interesting that one word meant both things, because it was an era when your birth determined your type, or your role in society for life.

Not every Boomer is a workaholic. I know plenty of slacker Boomers, although none that are successful business owners. I also know plenty of hard-charging X’ers. So the first thing to remember as  Boomer business owner is that Generation X buyers for your business aren’t nonexistent. They are just far fewer than the number of sellers because of their numbers, values and choices.

Second, every business problem is better tackled with planning and preparation. Positioning your business for a successful sale is like putting timers on your lights at home. Any experienced burglar will tell you that he can case a house for a few nights to determine whether there are timed lights, but why should he? There are far more houses that don’t have any precautions at all. Most privately held businesses aren’t planning for transition, and won’t be ready when the time comes.

A third reason not to be depressed is remembering who you are. If you recognize yourself in our profile of the hard-working, driven Boomer business owner we’ve presented here, then your competitive nature should kick in as you think about being one of the winners in the transition.

After all, selling your company is probably the most significant financial event of your lifetime. Why wouldn’t you approach it with all the energy and problem-solving ability that you possess?

Any successful transition of your business is a sale, whether it is to a third party, to employees or to family. We will use sale as a generic term synonymous with succession, transition. merger or acquisition just to keep things simpler. When I am speaking about a specific approach, I will differentiate between an internal sale (to employees or family) and an external sale (to a third party).

I’m also focusing on the transfer of a business from an individual, or a few partners, to another individual or partner group. Many small business owners approach me looking for a third party sale to a “strategic buyer.” All they know is that they’ve heard a strategic buyer pays far higher multiples than other buyers, so that’s the kind of buyer they want.

Very few companies selling for less than $10,000,000 are sold to strategic buyers. It is more frequent in technology and in some distribution channels than in other industries, but it isn’t common at all. If you are a typical small business providing services on a local basis, a franchisee, a retailer, or a professional firm; there is little likelihood that you offer the kind of strategic differentiation required to attract a large (and wealthy) corporation to your door.

Understanding your prospective buyer is a key part of the selling process, but it isn’t the only part. before we discuss how to position for the next generation(s) of buyers, we have to step aside to talk about where you begin.

The Starting Point

Preparing for a successful sale to a typical small business buyer begins with an honest assessment of where you are today. What is your company really worth?

Most business owners have a very subjective approach to valuing their business. They talk to colleagues at trade shows about rumored prices for sales in their industry. They ask other business owners in their local area about the sale prices of unrelated companies. They read stories in the news about publicly traded acquisitions. Then they pick the number they like the best. “After all,” they say, “my business is as good as anyone else’s.”

I see too many cases where owners become emotionally committed to that number, to the point where they are highly offended by any other. They tell their personal financial planner to use the number in their retirement planning. They put the number on their personal financial statements to the bank. After a while, that number becomes fact, whether it originally had any basis or not.

Your planner or your banker isn’t qualified to verify the value you place on your business. For many owners whose net worth is 50% or more dependent on their business asset, picking a number based on hearsay or second-hand information is tantamount to insanity. It is your biggest asset, don’t you want to know what it worth?

There are a number of valuation specialists who can appraise your company. Any qualified professional will look at comparative sales, the market, your industry and the current  cost of financing.For most small businesses, a reasonable appraisal can be purchased for a few thousand dollars. (A side note: “free” appraisals or those generated in one-day seminars are often worth what you paid for them.) Once you have it, you can use the logic and multiples to track your approximate value for at least several years.

The Target

Once you know what your business is worth, targeting becomes much simpler. You take your net worth today (without your business), determine what you will need at retirement, and the sale price of your company has to make up the difference. A Certified Financial Planner has the ability to help you project your retirement needs, as well as the software to calculate tax implications and inflation.

With the company’s real present value documented, and a target amount based on realities of the market, you can set a date for your exit.

Setting a date is much, much more than just a theoretical exercise. Every plan must start with a goal, and your goal has to be both time and amount sensitive. “I’ll keep working until my business is worth $5,000,000.” isn’t a plan. “I’ll quit when I am 65 years old, and just hope that I have enough to live on.” isn’t a plan.

Setting your exit date doesn’t mean you have to stop working. It doesn’t even mean you have to leave your business. It’s just the target for when you can leave your business. Once you are there, the actual timing is up to you.

If you have a plan, you can start positioning for the sale. That’s where understanding your buyers’ market begins.

(This is the eighth installment in a series about “Beating the Boomer Bust.” Previous installments are The Approaching Tidal Wave, The Pig in the Python,  The Brass Ring, Work-Life Balance, Outsourcing America ,  The X Factor and The Gen X Business Buyer.)

The Baby Boomers created seismic shifts in American culture and economics throughout their lives. Their mere numbers caused much of the shift, but their competitiveness and commonality enhanced the impact at every stage of their lives.

In the mid 1960’s, as we’ve seen, the Boomers delayed having children. Unlike every previous generation, they chose to work longer and accumulate, or at least spend more, wealth. The “trough” of birthrates was lowest between about 1968 and 1978. By the early 1980’s, the Boomers began their delayed child-bearing in earnest.

As the parents of Generation X, the Boomers didn’t suddenly abandon their defining characteristics. They became competitive parents. Parenting became a performing art. Peer pressure made competitive parenting into a status symbol. They set out on the quest for ultimate child development.

The Boomers had two ways possible to approach perfect parenting. The first way requires a huge commitment of time. Mom stays home, and Dad is home as much as humanly possible. You pour your time into giving attention to your children. You engage them in all household activities, such as gardening and cooking. You do their homework with them, and teach them how to play sports. You practice with them, and dedicate evenings and weekends to their development.

That road to perfect parenting doesn’t leave much space for dual career households seeking the upper reaches of the socio-economic ladder. You can’t work lots of overtime, bring work home, play golf with customers on weekends, or go out for career-enhancing social events if you are spending every spare minute delivering instruction and experience to your children.

As a smart, educated, and efficient parent the solution is obvious. You outsource all that stuff. Outsourcing traditional parenting chores served a dual purpose. It saved time for Boomer parents who were focused on career-building, and it created business opportunities for those who couldn’t, or wouldn’t, compete in  climbing the traditional career ladder of corporate America.

Business model franchising was first established in the 1940’s, beginning with businesses that offered prepared food to replace home-made meals. From 1975 (when the first Boomers turned 30) through 1986 the number of franchises sold in the US skyrocketed from about 2,000 to 22,000 annually. That number leveled off in 1986, and remains roughly constant through today.

Competitive Boomer parents had an answer to their time constraints; one that still suited the drive to give their children the best of everything. Little League became merely the first step in sports development. If you were serious about supporting your child’s sporting prowess, you paid for year-round leagues, traveling teams and private coaches. The same logic justified martial arts classes, music teachers and tutors for school subjects.

At home, busy parent could “buy” time by outsourcing not only cooking, but house cleaning, laundry, yard maintenance and repairs. “Do it yourself” faded as a point of pride, replaced by hiring an expert to do it better.

The explosion of franchising was fueled by the rising tide of Boomers serving Boomers. They provided both the service providers and the consumers who paid for those services. By the 1980’s, the portion of the US Gross Domestic Product from services had risen to over 70%.

For franchisors and their franchisees, the model fit Boomer ambitions beautifully. Once established, franchisors had a ready market of hard-working ownership prospects. Many, and probably most franchises are driven by the personal efforts of the franchisee. He or she often opens the business, closes it, and delivers or supervises the delivery of most of the services.

Franchisors are relieved of the expensive, time-consuming roles of motivating employees and managing the day-to-day operations. They don’t need to set sales goals or create growth incentives; Boomer owners do that all by themselves.

What happens when franchisors run out of middle-aged Boomers to buy and drive their growth? The youngest Boomers are now entering their 50s, and are no longer prime candidates for start-up ventures. The oldest Boomers are rapidly (at a rate of 1,000 every 8 minutes) moving out of their peak outsourcing consumption years.

On August 6, 2011, Standard and Poors Sovereign Credit Rating Unit downgraded America’s debt rating from AAA to AA+. The next day the head of the unit, David T. Beers, was asked in an interview to estimate when the top rating might be restored. He replied, “What Americans have to understand is that this country reached its demographic peak ten years ago.”

“Awake at 2 o’clock is a weekly column for business owners. This series has been examining the impact of the Baby Boom generation on cultural shifts and the economy of the United States, in order to build the base for the rest of the discussion to come.

What will happen to the millions of Boomer-owned businesses when it is time to hand them off to a generation that is smaller, has very different values, and has far more options? Our next column will begin examining those buyers- Generation X.

(This is the fifth installment in a series about “Beating the Boomer Bust.” Previous installments are The Approaching Tidal Wave, The Pig in the Python,  The Brass Ring and Work-Life Balance.)

 

The term “Work-Life Balance” is widely cited as first occurring in the United State in 1986 in a research paper. I can’t identify the specific source of this much-referred usage, but it is telling that it would pop up when the last Baby Boomers had just turned 21. They were all in the labor pool, and their competitiveness (see The Brass Ring) was rapidly becoming the norm in the workplace.

In the period beginning in 1912, the Federal Government began passing legislation to limit the number of hours that could be demanded of a worker. With the passage of the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938, the concept of a 40 hour work week was enshrined in national labor regulations.

In the decades following WWII, the average work week hovered between 39 and 41 hours. As the Boomers assumed their dominant role in the workforce, however, it began to climb for the first time since prior to the Great Depression, and by the mid 1990’s was in excess of 47 hours a week for the entire working population. The race was on!

Just as it doesn’t take an economist to understand why a having lot more people creates additional demand, so it doesn’t take a PhD to explain why working more produces more. Combine a generation that was 50% larger than its predecessor, and have that much larger labor force work 20% more, and you have a rising tide that has carried the US economy through today.

But even those factors don’t fully explain the force that was the Baby Boomers. Driven to succeed, they sought new ways to increase household income. One of those became obvious. As the university system opened up to women, educated and ambitious Boomer moms were pressed into service as wage earners. The two income family became the new norm.

Between 1970 and 1980, while the US population increased by 11%, the workforce grew by an astonishing 29%!

“Work-Life Balance” wasn’t a term before the Boomers, simply because it wasn’t a widespread issue before the Boomers. The returning WWII GIs didn’t wrestle with the dividing line between work and life. There was work, and then there was life. You left the office at 5:00 (or the plant when your shift ended) and came home to your life. In the idealized middle-class family, Mom had spent the day caring for the children and preparing dinner. Weekends were for outings and backyard time with friends (in your new subdivision home).

Boomers abandoned that model by the millions. Although the wife still assumed the bulk of the duties of child care and food preparation (and does today), she had to fit it in around a work week spent supporting a lifestyle of success.

In 1984 (when the Boomers ranged from 20-40 years old- prime child-bearing time) Chrysler Corporation introduced one of the greatest product successes of the decade; the minivan. Built on a car chassis (so women could drive it more easily) it had the first feature that acknowledged automobiles as something other than transportation- cupholders!

Now families had transport that accommodated their need to feed children in between school and activities and home. McDonald’s installed its first drive-through window in 1975 (the oldest Boomers had just turned 30). Mom became an efficiency machine, going from work to school to soccer without ever getting out from behind the steering wheel.

In a foreshadowing of what happened to many products that depended on Boomers to support them, over 1 million minivans were sold in America in 2005, when the youngest Boomers turned 40. By 2008, just three years later, minivan sales had dropped by 80%, to just over 200,000. The Boomers were now in their 40s and 50s. More affluent, they could afford to move up en masse to SUVs. (Everyone had cupholders by then.)

The Boomers had reshaped society, first as children, again as working adults, and now as parents. This reshaping went much further that simple productivity. In their quest for identity through work and material success, the Boomers were about to engineer the biggest change of all.

Since 1776, with a small drop during the Great Depression, every generation of Americans has begun promptly producing a new, larger generation upon turning 20 years old. The Boomers broke that mold. Their need for higher education and early focus on potential careers delayed their marriages and child-bearing by years. Once they began having children, the challenges of juggling job and family, along with medical advancements in birth control, led them to have fewer children than their parents did.

As a result, the tenth generation born as United States citizens (known by their Roman numeral as “Generation X”)  was smaller than the Boomers that preceded them by almost 10,000,000 lives.

By now, you have had enough indoctrination regarding the economic effects of rising and falling populations to understand the implications of a shrinking work force. It is no coincidence that the suffering economies of Europe, Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal, have had the four lowest birth rates in Europe for the last 30 years. Fewer workers are simply bad for an economy.

But Generation X will impact retiring Boomers through more than just numbers. They grew up in minivans, watching their parents work longer and harder in pursuit of success. They aren’t impressed by the results, and are returning to values that separate work from life.

That may be good for them, but it isn’t promising for Boomer business owners on many different levels.

(This is the fourth installment in a series about “Beating the Boomer Bust.” Previous installments are The Approaching Tidal Wave, The Pig in the Python and The Brass Ring.)