Exit Planning Tools for Business Owners

Four Basics of Exit Planning 1: Valuation

There are four basics an owner should address before beginning any exit, succession, or transition plan. They are Valuation, Distance to Goal, Prospective Buyers, and Professional Team.

First, my apologies for missing a tri-weekly post. Between trips to Denver for BEI’s National Exit Planning Conference, Dallas for a client, San Antonio for our own XPX Exit Planning Summit, Nashville for the national EPI Exit Planning Summit, and St. Louis for Archford’s Metro Business Owner Summit, I kind of lost track of my posting schedule.

Here is the first of the four basic requirements. I promise not to dally in posting the rest of the full set.

Understanding Valuation

Value is the starting point for all transition planning. Any decision, any business plan, and every retirement projection (either for time frames or finances) must start with the value of your business today.

Knowing the value of your business is different from thinking you know it. I talk to many owners who say “I met a guy at a trade show, and he told me that he knows a guy with a business just like mine who sold his company for five million dollars. I think I’m a little bigger than he was, so I know my business is worth at least six million.”

Sounds foolish? How about “My accountant says that all small business sells for about five times earnings.” Or “Everyone in my industry knows that all companies like ours sell for one and a half times revenue.”

Any valuation estimate that is in the same sentence as “all,” or “everyone” is a crock. Multiples may serve as guidelines, but the value of a specific business is always unique to that business.

How much is a manufacturer of disposable paper products worth? What if they specialize in paper straws? How much does that value change every time McDonald’s or Southwest Airlines announces that they are switching to paper straws? How much is it worth if it is the last paper straw manufacturer in the USA (like Aardvark® Straws?) If you understand the value, your mental estimate should have changed with each sentence.

Every change in the above paragraph described an intangible. Events and market conditions are as important, or in some cases more important, than last year’s numbers. Valuation starts with profitability and cash flow, but the real price that someone will pay for a business lies in the intangibles.

Intangibles

There are scores of intangible factors affecting business value. Most are related to customers, employees, or systems. Ask yourself these questions (although there are many more.)

  • Customers:
    • Do you get more than 20% of your sales from one customer?
    • Is your revenue recurring (by contract) or a series of one-time transactions?
    • Is your value proposition more than just “good service?”
    • Are steady or repeat customers increasing their purchases?
    • Can you forecast their purchasing accurately?
  • Employees:
    • Do you have managers that can run the day to day operations without you?
    • Are your key employees too close to retirement age?
    • Is turnover too high, or nonexistent?
    • Are important positions cross-trained via a formal process?
    • Do you have non-competes and/or long term retention incentives?
  • Systems
    • How accurate is your budgeting when compared to historical reality?
    • Are all processes documented and followed?
    • Is equipment carefully maintained?
    • Our proprietary systems and knowledge protected?
    • Do you track the effectiveness of sales and advertising expenses?

All valuations begin with profitability and cash flow. Most business appraisals take at least a cursory look at a few of the intangibles listed above. Buyers, however, will look at all of these factors and more.

Understanding the four basics of exit planning starts with valuation. If you don’t know where you are, it’s tough to plan where you are going.

For over twenty years, business owners have asked me “What can I do to increase the value of my company?” My answer is always the same.

“Exactly what you should be doing to improve it every day.”

Do you think you know the value of your business? Try the “Sellers Sanity Check,” a free tool at YourExitMap.com

Invest 15 Minutes and take our FREE Exit Readiness Assessment. We do not request any confidential information.

John F. Dini develops transition and succession strategies that allow business owners to exit their companies on their own schedule, with the proceeds they seek and complete control over the process. He takes a coaching approach to client engagements, focusing on helping owners of companies with $1M to $250M in revenue achieve both their desired lifestyles and legacies

Subordinated Debt in an Exit Plan

Subordinated debt can be a key consideration in any sale transaction. Whether you are contemplating a sale to a third party or an internal transfer to employees, the topic of taking second place to a lender will likely come up.

If an outside buyer is financing the purchase, seller notes can be considered as part of a down payment, but any bank will require it to hold second priority to their loan. If the Small Business Administration is involved, they will usually demand that the seller assume some of the risk with a secondary loan. In an internal sale, that will be a requirement.

Risk vs. Reward

As a business owner, you make decisions about good risk and bad risk every day. You extend credit to customers, and spend money on marketing or expansion based on your projection of a future payoff. Subordinated debt is just another risk/reward consideration.

It may allow you to get a higher price (eventually) than demanding an all-cash deal. It can also be the deciding factor in qualifying a buyer for outside financing for the majority of the purchase.

In an internal sale, subordinated debt is frequently a trade-off for time. An exit date may be your choice, or driven by outside factors such as health, family needs or increased competition.

When your target departure date is close, especially if it is two years or less, it is difficult to transfer enough equity to employees for them to qualify for 100% outside financing. The percentage of  the risk that you are willing to bear has a direct impact on what another lender will do.

If you need to leave in less than a year, financing the entire transaction might be your only choice.

Qualifying Subordinated Debt

Some brokers tout the tax advantages of installment sales with 100% seller financing as the best way to sell a business. In my experience, it is more likely to attract unqualified buyers. No reduction in tax rates comes close to the advantages of cash in your pocket.

It’s true that unsecured loans usually carry a higher interest rate due to the lack of security. That might be tempting, but no interest rate is attractive if you don’t get paid.

As a lender, you have the same interest in choosing a qualified buyer as the bank. Using subordinated debt to serve your purposes is a valid tactic. Using it simply because you are the lender of last recourse is probably not.

 

Business Buyers and Disintermediation

In the last post, we discussed the reluctance of many prospective business buyers to deal with the regulatory burden of being an employer or service provider. You may be among the lucky few whose profession doesn’t require licensing. Even better, you may have qualified employees who are able to run the business without you.

There are other issues that concern younger buyers, however. One of these is the threat of disintermediation. That’s a trendy word for what we used to call “bypassing the middle man,” but it applies to many businesses that are being made obsolete by technology.

Disintermediated Businesses

How many business people still rent cars to attend a couple of meetings in a city? With Lyft and Uber, it is frequently easier to call a ride than leave a car in the (expensive) hotel parking for 90% of a visit. I’d be very skeptical of buying a car rental business today.

What happens when (not if) autonomous vehicles become part of daily life? Long-haul trucking will move to non-peak traffic hours, reducing the need for drivers, training schools, highway expansion, truck stops, and perhaps the number of trucks themselves.

Service businesses where the middleman lends expertise (easily duplicated by Internet research) or access to vendors are feeling the crunch already. The warning bell is sounding for mortgage companies, real estate agents, insurance and benefit brokers, employment agencies, printers, publishers, and travel agents.

These businesses won’t go away, but there will be fewer of them, and their margins are eroding.

The rise of robotics and artificial intelligence threatens even the most skilled professions. Legal databases, automated interpretation of medical imaging and free online tax filing are a few examples.

This quote is from a  February 21 essay by Rob Kaplan, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

As I have been discussing for the past two years, technology-enabled disruption means workers increasingly being replaced by technology. It also means that existing business models are being supplanted by new models, often technology-enabled, for more efficiently selling or distributing goods and services. In addition, consumers are increasingly being able to use technology to shop for goods and services at lower prices with greater convenience—having the impact of reducing the pricing power of businesses which has, in turn, caused them to further intensify their focus on creating greater operational efficiencies. These trends appear to be accelerating.

The Impact on Sellers

The overview of the business seller’s marketplace is straightforward. As I’ve been proselytizing for over a decade in my “Boomer Bust” presentations and books, selling a business will be more challenging, but that doesn’t mean any particular business is unsellable.

As with any other competition, the response is to create differentiation from the rest of the pack. There are a few key factors that top the list of appealing differentiators for business buyers.

  1. Build a business that can run without you. The more you work in your business, the less it is worth.
  2. Train effective management. Employees who understand how to run a profitable business are highly appealing to any prospective buyer. In addition, they can provide you with an alternative to a third-party sale.
  3. Upgrade the value-added component of your offering. If the only benefit you offer to a customer is time and place utility, you are probably toast.

There is another factor that may sound counterintuitive. Design your business so that it requires more expensive employees. If low wage workers are the backbone of what you do, you risk losing the technology arms race with larger competitors. I’ll expand on this in my next post.

The population of business buyers is younger, more technologically savvy, and less inclined to long hours than the generation that is selling. Winning in a competitive marketplace demands that you offer what business buyers want.

 

Life After Exit — Time is of the Essence

From time to time, we share real stories about life after exit from owners who have sold their businesses. Some are great and some… not so much. The have agreed to share their experiences to help other owners prepare for both the process of transferring their companies and what comes after.

The Business

BVA Scientific, a distributor of laboratory supplies and equipment, started in Bob and Nancy Davison’s bedroom with the garage serving as the “warehouse.” Both had a background in laboratory supply sales, and they focused on building deeper customer relationships than the multi-billion dollar vendors who dominate the industry.

That approach helped the company grow with a balanced customer base. BVA has a presence in food testing laboratories, water and wastewater plants and the Texas oil fields, rather than the typical dominance of doctors and hospitals for their type of business.

Not surprisingly, BVA had attracted multiple inquiries from private equity groups. None of those came with management, however, and all wanted the Davisons to remain as employees for a long time after the acquisition. While they weren’t in a rush to get out the door, Bob and Nancy wanted a clear path to retirement

Here is how they describe the transaction

“First, let’s kill all the lawyers…”

Nancy: “We knew that the business had grown beyond what a couple of salespeople could handle well. Supply sources were moving to Asia, and I felt a bit out of step. I think the real impetus was when a general manager to whom we planned to sell the business left for, of all things, his own sign shop franchise. We hired a replacement, but we could see that he wasn’t our exit plan.”

Bob: “I’ve always been very active in our trade association. A colleague with a much larger operation had asked me several times to let him know if we would consider selling. When he repeated the offer at a conference, we decided to start talking seriously.”

Nancy: “The due diligence almost killed me. The buyer’s attorneys kept asking for more information. Halfway through the deal their lead attorney went on maternity leave, and her replacement wanted to restart the whole process from the beginning!”

Bob: “Our legal bills wound up being so much more than we anticipated. I think my biggest surprise was finding out how many adjectives could be used to modify the word lawyers.”

Nancy: “The closing date was delayed multiple times. Then our biggest customer told us privately that they were planning to shift their purchasing for high-volume items to China. It was a gut check, but we shared the information with the buyer. We had to restructure the deal with a portion tied to an earn-out, based on the level of business we maintained for a year after closing.”

Life After Exit

Bob: “Nancy stepped back pretty quickly. I wasn’t quite ready to retire, and now I have the added motivation of watching our earn-out. My role is technically sales-related, but it is just as much about keeping the employees happy through the change.”

(Note: As we approach the end of the earn-out agreement, BVA Scientific has easily reached all the goals required for full contingency payment. Nancy and Bob continue to enjoy life after exit.)

 

This story and others are in my latest book Your Exit Map: Navigating the Boomer Bust.

Exit Planning – Maintaining Control

For many owners, their biggest concern in an exit plan is maintaining control.  Whether they seek to sell to employees, family or a third-party, there is a fear that, once started, the process will have its own rules and momentum.

My colleague John Warrillow, author of Built to Sell and The Automatic Customer, has written an excellent white paper on the types of people who own businesses. John previously owned a data-driven marketing company, and always backs up his opinions with solid research.

I’ll leave the indicators of the entrepreneurial types to John, since it is his material. His conclusion, however, is that 2% of owners are Mountain Climbers. They are focused entirely on the next goal (usually growing the business.) Another 24% are Freedom Fighters; those who are in business for themselves as a way to control their lives. The remaining 74% are Craftspeople. They run their own business as a job, focusing on doing much of the work themselves to maintain the best quality.

Craftspeople aren’t prime candidates for exit planning. Their owner-centric approach to the business leaves them little value to sell to another entrepreneur. Mountain Climbers are almost certainly planning an exit, but their objective is probably to reach a level that attracts financial and strategic acquirers.

That leaves Freedom Fighters as about 92% of the owners who will benefit from a planned transition. Maintaining control is their very reason for owning a business. They have no intention of surrendering the outcome to someone else.

Sharing Control with a Buyer

Ironically, the majority of these owners say that they plan to sell their companies to a third party. By definition, they will be sharing the timing, price and transfer mechanisms with a stranger. The buyer will have his or her own ideas about the process and how much the company is worth.

Combining Warrillow’s  work with my own research on the number of Boomer employers (5 or more employees) in the U.S., and we can estimate that somewhere between 750,000 and 1,500,000 of these businesses are owned by Freedom Fighters over 55 years old. If you’ve read my latest book or visit this column regularly, you already know that the intermediary community (brokers and investment bankers), accounts for about 10,000 third-party sales annually.

These owners don’t have a century or more to stand on line waiting for a buyer. That’s why so many are choosing to sell their businesses to employees.

“But my employees have no money!” That first objection is usually true, but if they have the skills to run the business, the financial mechanisms can often be arranged. A Leveraged Buyout (LBO) or an Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) can be structured over a few years so that the owner remains in control of the business until he or she leaves with the full value of the company in his or her pocket.

Of course, you can always finance the transaction yourself, and sell to employees for a note. That, however, is the antithesis of maintaining control.