Exit Planning Tools for Business Owners

exit strategies

Ageing Boomer Entrepreneurs: Fearful or Smart?

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Do we become more cautious with age?

Startups are usually associated with younger entrepreneurs. By the time they reach their 50s or 60s business owners tend to tackle fewer big new ideas. Those that do tend to be successful enough that they can segregate the risk in a way that won’t threaten their core livelihood. Are they smarter, or just more fearful of failure?

There are any number of business axioms about the value of experience. “Experience is what you get when you don’t get what you want.” or “Good decisions come from experience. Experience comes from bad decisions.” Does the caution that accompanies age come from experience, or just from a natural reduction in adrenalin?

The youngest Baby Boomers turn 50 this year. Collectively, they represent over half the small business ownership in the United States. There is an important macroeconomic issue attached to the general ageing of owners. If risk-aversion is a biologic phenomenon, then we can expect millions of small employers to drift into “harvest mode,” maintaining their businesses as vehicles for current cash flow and retirement security. They will leave growth and innovation to a younger, but substantially smaller group of entrepreneurs.

Some of their caution is due to external influence. As companies grow and founders age, they become far more conscious of their responsibility to employees’ families and children. Putting everything on the line has potential impact not only on workers, but the extended small economy that depends on their wages. Greater responsibility generates greater caution.

danger aheadWhen you are starting out, have fewer people depending on you, and mistakes have fewer consequences (see my 2014 post The Luxury of No Resources),  it’s easier to take a leap. If you fail, you’re not much worse off than you were before. But there are costs to learning by trial and error. After a while, going back to the drawing board becomes tiresome.

Ideally, the caution that comes with age isn’t from fear. It’s because you’ve come to appreciate the value of planning. It’s not because you are afraid to make a mistake, but rather you want to avoid the delays that come with making repairs every time you hit a pothole.

Every school of business wisdom extols the value of planning. When we are younger, we tend to ignore it. We scoff at Abraham Lincoln’s quote “If I had eight hours to cut down a tree; I’d spend seven sharpening my saw.” The tree is right in front of us. The saw is in our hands. We can sharpen as we go. Sometimes that works. Often it doesn’t.

Many Boomer owners will operate from a fear of failure. Their businesses will fade as the world continues to change around them and they don’t adjust. Hopefully, they’ve been successful enough in the past to exit comfortably.

Some, likely a small minority, still seek to leave a bigger legacy. They have a shorter time frame, lacking the 30 or 40 years of a full career ahead of them. They’ve learned to spend the seven hours sharpening, so that the hour spent sawing is easier and more productive. Those entrepreneurs will adjust to change on their own timetable, but  with far better results.

Their caution isn’t from fear, but from experience.

 

Selling Your Business in a Buyer’s Market

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For almost ten years I’ve been writing and speaking about the issues facing Baby Boomer business owners as they begin a flood of small business sales. This recent article was syndicated in 16 trade and professional magazines. I reprint it here so readers of “Awake” can share it with their over-50 owner colleagues.

More than 50% of US business owners are over 50 years old, and many of them are looking toward retirement and the process of attracting and vetting potential buyers to take the reins. The differences in yesterday’s and today’s business landscapes are stark—as Boomers were raised in a highly competitive environment, many face the problem of having built companies that won’t attract a new generation of buyers. Three major trends impact the salability of a business. Understanding these trends can help owners transition successfully in a challenging market, and ultimately identify the buyer who will carry their company’s torch going forward.

Why Do Boomers Work So Hard?

Baby Boomers are 2 ½ times more likely to own a business than the generations before or following. Between 1975 (when the first Boomers turned 30), and 1986 the formation of new businesses in America jumped from 300,000 to 700,000 annually. Faced with fierce competition on the pathway to success, many Boomers chose to chase the brass ring by going into business for themselves. New business start-ups have never again reached that level. The result is that nearly two-thirds of all businesses with fewer than 500 employees are in the hands of people who are preparing to retire.

The impact of the Baby Boomers at each stage of life created a one-time surge in many statistics. They tripled the number of college graduates, and brought over 50 million women into the workforce. Between 1970 and 1980 the population of the United States increased by 11%, but the employment base grew by an astonishing 29%. Replacing such a massive segment of the population in the business sector is no easy feat.

The Perfect Storm

BtBB_CoverThere are three major trends that challenge a small business owner preparing to exit. Like the movie “The Perfect Storm,” these three trends; demographic, psychographic and sociographic, are combining to create a Tsunami that will change the entire landscape of independent business ownership.

  •  Demographically, the generation following the Boomers (Gen X) is much smaller. From a supply and demand perspective, there simply aren’t as many available buyers as the number of potential retirees seeking them.
  •  The psychographic profile of the buyer generation is unfavorable. What business owner hasn’t complained about the work ethic of the younger generation? Raised in a forty year period of economic growth (the longest sustained period of expansion in our history) Generation X and their successors (The Millennials) are more likely to choose family first, and perceive jobs and employers as merely the means to a personal end. They aren’t wrong. The parents of the Boomers’ understood the difference between work and personal life. One started when the other ended. In their drive for success, the Baby Boomers mixed the two and created the term “work/life balance”. Younger generations are actually returning to an older set of values.
  •  Sociographic trends favor alternative careers over business ownership. Corporate America is well aware of the issues and attitudes of the younger generations. They have already made many adjustments. Telecommuting, sabbaticals, family leave, and flex time are benefits designed to attract younger workers who have a different set of priorities. Few small businesses have the depth or breadth to allow skilled employees to come and go according to their individual priorities.

Young entrepreneurs have little interest in the service-oriented brick-and-mortar companies that dominate small business. They seek a level of freedom that doesn’t require being on call, schedules driven by customer convenience, or a 55 hour work week. Combined with the sheer lack of prospective buyers, a reduction in the number of small businesses becomes more than likely, it is inevitable.

Yet, many small business owners are depending on their company to fund a comfortable retirement. Their plan goes something like this: “I will work really hard until I am tired, and then I will find some energetic younger person just like me who is willing to commit everything for this great opportunity.”

 Beating the Odds

Fortunately, if you are a successful business owner, you’ve already proven your competitive instincts and abilities. With some planning and foresight, you can still beat the Boomer Bust and achieve your retirement objectives. There are two pathways to succeeding in a crowded sales marketplace.

Build to Sell

Your first option is to build a business that is attractive to your younger buyers. It allows for personal flexibility. It can’t require a huge down payment, since these generations were raised in a “buy-now-pay-later” world, where they are carrying substantial debt from the day they graduate college, and have little opportunity to amass liquidity.

Your technology doesn’t have to be cutting edge, but it needs to be current. Nothing turns off the tech-savvy young buyer faster than a company that is limping along on outdated software or (heaven forbid) paper. Of course, the other attributes of an attractive acquisition; growing margins, a distributed customer base and predictable revenues, are a given.

Hire Your Buyer  

The second option is to hire your buyer. The stereotypes of different generations aren’t universal. Certainly we all know Boomer slackers, as well as young people who are ambitious and hard-working. Lacking capital, many of those younger go-getters would like to own a business but have difficulty seeing how they can make it possible. Identifying such a buyer in your own organization, or even reaching outside and recruiting one, is a viable option if your target date for exiting is a few years away.

Creating your own successor requires a commitment to planning and development, but the financial aspects are fairly simple. A few years of selling equity in small amounts can let your successor build a minority stake. Then he or she can obtain third-party financing for the balance of the purchase so you can maintain control through the process, and take the proceeds with you when you leave.

Remember; “The more you work in your business, the less it is worth.” Everything you do to reduce your business’s dependence on your personal talents, to reduce the time commitment of running it, and to make it easier for any successor (whether internal or external) to take over the reins, also increases its value to any buyer.

You can’t change the factors that create the most competitive selling environment in history.  Understanding what the future looks like, and realizing that your buyer is unlikely to be someone “just like me” is a critical first step in the process.

My 48 page Ebook Beating the Boomer Bust is available as a free download in either printable or E-reader formats here.

Money is Only Money

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Last week I discussed the general parameters of the private equity market for small and midsized businesses. A rational look at the number of “funds” active in the market, measured against the number of legitimate candidates for investment or acquisition, paints a clear view of why so many small companies are receiving calls from interested investors. There simply aren’t enough profitable, growing companies to buy.

I put “funds” in quotes because not all Private Equity Groups are funds. There is a big difference between “We have money” and “We can get money.” Your first questions to any purported acquirer should be about the source and condition of their funds.

Some will say they have investors ready to fund. Walk away. You don’t have the time or energy to let your company be used as a beauty contestant for someone who is little more than a broker.

Others will say they have “dry powder.” That’s the PEG term for an actual bank account in which their investors have deposited real money. “Dry powder” is the amount they have available to invest. Ideally it should be sufficient to purchase your business for cash. although that might not be how things eventually wind up.

Rolls of 100 billsFor many of my clients who are approached, the next questions disqualify most of the remaining prospects. The conversation goes something like this:

Q:  What related acquisitions in our industry are currently in your portfolio?

A: We have over $400 million dollars to invest

Q: What is your strategy for our industry, and why do you find it attractive?

A: We have over $400 million dollars to invest

That’s an oversimplification, but not by much. Money is only money, and merely having it is no guarantee of success. You should remember that the average PEG has promised a target level of return to its investors, and most have a deadline for investing the money. If they fail to do so, the money reverts to its original owners, usually less the PEG’s costs of operations. That (not surprisingly) greatly diminishes the PEGs chance of raising more from those folks next time around. If that deadline is approaching, some funds get much looser about how and where they find deals.

Let’s say you find a fund that is already focused in your industry and has a strong plan for growing their investment. That is usually either by adding more companies like yours, or by using their relationships to generate a lot of new revenue. Whether you should give up control (and you are always giving up control) of the business depends largely on your personal objectives.

  • Family Financial Security: You want to take enough money off the table to eliminate the risks your family has lived with since you started the business. You still enjoy working, but would like to have more of a safety net.
  • Executive Expertise: As hard as it may be to admit, you’ve taken the company as far as you can. It has a lot of upside potential, but you know that you aren’t the one to take it there.
  • Capital Investment: You’ve identified substantial opportunity if you had the equipment or network to pursue it, and the investors agree with you.
  • Two bites: As I described last week, you see the investment partner as bringing the ability to make the minority share you retain worth more than the majority you are selling now.
  • Exit Strategy: Your new partners understand and agree on a time frame and method to let you move on to the next stage of your life.

I recently had a client who was offered a substantial 8-figure sum for his company. He is well under 40 years old. He decided that the company was (and the investors agreed) positioned for a period of very rapid growth, and he would rather make that run as a sole owner. Those members of his peer board who were over 50 years old strongly advised that he take the money and start another business if he had that much appetite for risk.

Age and attitude govern what is or isn’t a good deal. First you have to know what you want, but even then professional investors can’t read your mind. Unless you tell them what your objectives are (and you will have to eventually), they can only talk about their investment, and money is only money.

I have just published a new eBook, “24 Tips for More Effective Meetings.” It is available for FREE when you sign up to receive “Awake” weekly. If you are already a subscriber, just reenter your email address in the small sign-up form above right (you won’t receive duplicate posts). You will be automatically redirected to a download page. Thanks for subscribing!

Investing in Your Own Business: Will It Pay Off?

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A few months ago a business owner asked me to evaluate an acquisition offer for his small business. It was from a larger company headquartered in a different region of the country. They had a branch operation in his city, and wanted to expand their presence by combining it with his.

For an opening offer, the deal seemed very reasonable to me. The purchase price was about four times EBITDA, with half in cash and half with interest over the next three years, and without any conditions attached. (note: That doesn’t mean conditions wouldn’t have come later.) He would receive a three-year employment agreement at a higher salary than he currently paid himself, with additional bonuses for growing the business plus all the benefits he currently enjoyed.

He was unhappy with my assessment, and announced his intention to counter-offer for double the proposed purchase price, with a perpetual employment agreement that would allow him to work for as long as he chose.

While any opening offer is subject to negotiation, I expressed my doubts about attaining a public-company or strategic-level multiple, especially when accompanied by an employment agreement that would make any labor attorney flip out. I asked him how he planned to justify his asking price.

empty wallet“It just isn’t enough to retire,” he said. “I’d have to keep working indefinitely, and I don’t want to have to go find another job if this doesn’t pan out.”

Please understand; presenting this story in the abbreviated way that I have makes this owner sound like he is clueless or ignorant. Neither is the case. He has run this business for years, and built it to several times the revenue and profitability of when he acquired it. He has sacrificed personally, putting in long hours and scrimping financially to reinvest in his company. He  qualifies as a successful small business owner by most measurements of small business success.

But as a mid-generation Boomer (late 50s) he is coming to the realization that it may not be enough. Like many others, he decided that investing in his own business was more controllable and would produce a higher return than the vagaries of stock markets and  mutual funds. His business is his retirement account, and like hundreds of thousands of others, he eventually came to believe his own claim. He expected his company to fund his retirement, without really looking at its objective value in the marketplace.

I asked him if doubling the price would achieve his retirement goal. He thought for a moment, and said “I don’t know, but I doubt it.”

There are roughly 5,500,000 Baby Boomer business owners entering, or already well into, their retirement windows. (The oldest Boomers turn 70 this year.) Many have the expectation that their company is their retirement plan, but there is no assurance that it’s true. If you are over 50 years old, I strongly recommend that you do three things:

  1. Download and read my eBook “Beating the Boomer Bust.” It’s a collection of ten blog posts  from this site with an overview of the challenges that are inevitable with the wave of retiring Boomer exits.. It’s short (45 pages) and its free.
  2. Get an objective valuation for your business. You don’t need a full appraisal. An opinion of value can range from free to a few thousand dollars, but it shouldn’t cost more than that. (You pretty much get what you pay for, though.) It is critical to understand where you are today.
  3. Get a realistic projection for how much you will need to maintain your target lifestyle in retirement. A Certified Financial Planner (CFP®) has the training and software to include inflation and tax assumptions. Again, many insurance agents and stockbrokers will provide this for free, but I prefer someone who does it without offering products for sale based on the result.

Disclosure: I offer exit consulting for business owners, but I do not provide valuation services, financial planning, wealth management, tax guidance or insurance. I’m just trying to have fewer conversations like the one above. Additional information, including a free, online self-assessment of your business, is at http://exitmap.com.

 

 A Note to My Readers

This January marks the start of my seventh full year of writing Awake at 2 o’clock on a weekly basis. I got serious with the publishing of “The Strategic Triple Threat” in January of 2009, which will probably stand forever as my most accurate piece of economic prognostication. :-)

Many thanks to the hundreds of you who have commented, and who come up to me at speaking events and say “I’ve been reading your blog for years.” If you read regularly and find yourself nodding in agreement or quoting a column, then I feel that I’m doing my job.

It’s a big, wide Internet out there. Like any blogger, I’m thrilled that I touch so many people with helpful information, but would always like to reach more. Please help by taking a few minutes to pass along a link to any business owners or advisors that you think might also enjoy an owner’s point of view.

Thank you

If you would like a printable pdf of this column or any other, please let me know at jdini@mpninc.com.

Boomer Business Owners’ Retirement Accelerates

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Pepperdine University, in cooperation with the International Business Brokers Association and the M&A Source, publishes a quarterly Market Pulse Survey on the sale of small businesses in the United States. The most recent report, covering the fourth quarter of 2012, shows that “retiring Baby Boomers” is for the first time the number one reason for selling a small business in the United States.

I’ve written since 2007  in this space and elsewhere about the impact of Boomer business owners leaving their companies. You can download my e-book on the subject at www.theboomerbust.com. (The password for my faithful readers is “Woodstock.”) The Market Pulse Survey is just the latest indicator of a crest that is building, and which will have a huge impact on the American business landscape.

hedge mazeIf you are as acutely aware of the impact of Boomers on the American economy as I am, you begin to see it in a lot of places. I attended a luncheon with an official of the Federal Reserve a few weeks ago, and a question was raised about the recovery of residential housing. He pointed out that the introduction of 30-year mortgages with only 20% down transformed the US into a country of homeowners.

Home ownership grew to over 60% of households by 1960, fueled by larger families (Boomer children) and the GI Bill. It stabilized at around 65% from the 1970s through the late 1990s, when it began climbing again, largely as a result of political pressure to let the Federal Government (through their proxies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) make mortgages available to a wider portion of the population. By 2007, the percentage of homeowners had reached almost 70%.

Residential housing markets began cratering in 2007, largely because too many people had been financed into homes they couldn’t really afford. They weren’t just the poor, but also included millions of Boomers who “traded up” in their quest for material success. (See the e-book for more on that Boomer drive.) The presenter pointed out that the population of homeowners was now stabilizing at much closer to 65%, which is assumed to be the normal equilibrium.

What if that is only a “Boomer equilibrium?” After all, the growth in home ownership occurred in a 50-year long expanding economy fueled by Boomers, first as household size increased, then as they became consumers. Aren’t we working with an assumption that the following generations will repeat the Boomer quest for more? Will GenX and the Millennials really get in line to splurge on ageing McMansions, or will they be satisfied with a more reasonable standard of functional shelter?

If the housing market suffered so badly in adjusting from a temporary high of 70% back to a more “normal” level of 65%, what will it look like if the next normal is 60%, or even 55%? (Prior to WWII only about 40% of US households owned their homes.)

The Market Pulse Survey also found that it is increasingly a buyer’s market for small businesses. That trend will inevitably accelerate, especially as we reach the 2018-2023 period, when Boomers turning 65 years old out number the GenXers turning 45 by 4,000 a day. If you are a young business owner, or plan to be one, the time is coming when you can pick and choose your opportunities.

But I’d be cautious of businesses focused on high-end residences.

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