Exit Planning Tools for Business Owners

A Hazy Crystal Ball is Better than a Rearview Mirror

Crystal BallSeveral years ago, I did a cross-country trip with my family. We laid out a rough plan of what we wanted to see, how long it’d take, and most importantly, what we wanted to eat!

When we hit the road, I did not drive looking primarily in the rearview mirror, with an occasional glance at the gas gauge and the road signs. I looked ahead and tweaked the plan. Yet, that is often how business owners run their businesses. Often, this year’s business planning consists of, “let’s do what we did last year – just more of it.” We look at whether we have cash in the bank, check our financial statements, and compare how we fare against last year. Although this is a common practice we should run our businesses with an eye on the future.

No one has a crystal ball that provides perfect clarity on the future. A million factors and forces affect our business and most of them are not within our control. Forecasting and planning require looking ahead a taking our best (hopefully educated) guess on what the future holds. I want to convince you that a rough, hazy plan is better than no plan at all!

If you do not know where to start, here are some practical pointers.

MAKE THE PLAN

Every forecast needs to answer the following questions:

  1. Where am I? Assess your revenue, profitability, operations, market position and see how you are doing. What is working well and what isn’t?
  2. Where do I want to be in the future? Lookout 3 to 5 years and write down goals. How much revenue growth, how much net income growth, what improvements are necessary for the business?
  3. HOW do I get there? This is most critical. Identify actions/investments you could take/make to attain your goals. These might include:
  4. • Establishing new markets
    • Creating new products
    • Adding key staff
    • Improving processes

  5. What is most important? Prioritize your improvements and plan them over 3 to 5 years. Tackle 2-3 goals per year.
  6. The end result should be:

• How much will my revenue grow in the next few years?
• What improvement do I need to make?
• How much will my bottom line grow in the next few years?
• Who do I need to hire/get on the bus?
• How much will this cost?

WORK THE PLAN

Once the plan is created, establish a consistent review and adjust as needed. This may include:

  1. Review your monthly financial performance against the plan. Include revenue, cost of goods, overhead, net income, and other appropriate key metrics. This implies a monthly budget.
  2. Conduct a monthly review of strategic projects. Routinely assess whether you are making progress on your major goals. Are you ahead? On track? Behind? Dead-in-the-water?
  3. Adjust course. If you are not “on the plan,” why? What are the causes of the variance and what do you need to do to get back on track?
  4. Modify the plan as needed. The “crystal ball” is hazy and there is no perfect plan. As you adjust you will learn your capacity for change and identify ways to improve.

Start Now and Keep It Simple

In planning our road trip, we identified key sights to see along the way and saw most of them. We paced ourselves and enjoyed the trip. You may not know how to forecast, but you DO know your business! Trust your experience and make a “road trip” plan to identify the following, at a minimum:

  • Revenue goals for next 5 years
  • Net Income goals for the next 5 years
  • New Critical Hires & the cost
  • Major projects & the cost

When you shift your gaze out, you are more able to see the business as an asset, rather than a job. The team knows where you are going and will often get on board to help you stay on track. Looking ahead allows you to see the potholes in the road before you hit them and it helps the journey become more predictable. Hopefully, you will start to enjoy the business more. Proven ability to grow is a key value driver when selling a company but, it may also help you build the company you want to KEEP!

Corby Megorden is a Principal at ENNIS Legacy Partners. The mission of ELP is to help business owners build value and exit on their own terms and conditions.

Your Exit Plan: The 3 Inarguable Reasons to Start NOW

What is Your Exit Plan?

If you’ve ever done a business plan for the purpose of raising capital, one of the key questions is “What is your exit plan?” Many business owners think that question is self-serving, intended merely to let the venture capitalists figure when and how they will get their return on investment. In truth, however, that question is far more important.

An exit plan is a strategic plan with an end date. Putting a time frame on your plan, and defining the goals to be achieved by that date, creates a future-focused mindset for the owner. It controls and reduces your tendency to prioritize daily firefighting over long term thinking. It provides you with a yardstick to measure progress. Most importantly, it affects your thinking about almost everything in your business.

Here are the 3 inarguable reasons why you should start your exit plan now.

Reason #1: It’s Never Too Soon

your exit planIn my years of working with business owners, I’ve helped many transfer their businesses to family and employees. I’ve worked with others who sold their companies to a third party for tens of millions of dollars.

Surveys show that many owners have regrets afterward. Others happily move into the next phase of their lives or careers. A few have seller’s remorse. On the other end of the spectrum, some come to the realization that they hated their business owner lives for years. The majority feel that they received a reasonable reward for monetizing their work of decades.

None of them. NOT ONE of them, has ever said “I spent too much time planning.

It’s likely that the sale of your business will be the most important financial event of your life. There are a few lucky owners who have wealth outside or beyond the value of their businesses, but for most of us monetizing those decades of effort is the culmination of our working careers.

If your exit plan is to transfer to family, you can choose vehicles like Grantor Retained Annuity Trusts (GRAT) or Self Cancelling Installment Notes (SCIN).  These may have to be in place for years to substantially reduce or eliminate taxable proceeds for you and/or your heirs.

In a sale to employees, developing the documentation that shows their assumption of managerial responsibilities over time is a basic qualification for SBA loan approval. That, plus developing their “down payment” equity, punches the ticket for you to walk away with your proceeds in pocket on the same day that you cede control of the company.

In a sale to third parties, the condition of the financial markets at your time of exit will decide the size of your multiple.  Preparing your business with due diligence in mind, and understanding the different classes of buyers, (see my post on identifying a buyer) allows you to better choose the time, method and proceeds of your transition.

Although it is difficult to time the stock market, shifts in acquisition multiples take much longer to develop.  Being prepared allows you to enter the market while prices are at a peak.

Five years is a reasonable planning time. Ten years is better. There is no time frame that’s “too far out” to be thinking about your exit.

Reason # 2: It Changes Your Thinking

It’s difficult to run a business without being reactive. Employee issues, customer problems, and vendor policies can shift your priorities on a daily basis.

When your exit plan is in place, you have a broader perspective. Every decision you make is now in the context of “Does this support my bigger picture?” There are numerous examples.

Hiring: If your exit plan is to pass the business on to your children, then hiring becomes a support function. You look for employees who can fill in areas where your offspring lack the necessary skills, or don’t have an interest.

If you plan to sell to employees, then you are looking for a Successor in Training (SIT). That is someone who shares many characteristics with you. If you are selling to a third party, you want a Second in Command (SIC). That is someone who compliments your strengths, and who can be contractually incented to stay on the job with a new owner. (See my piece on SIT vs. SIC here.) Securing a management team adds considerable value to any company.

Lease vs. Buy: If your plan calls for selling to someone who is likely to relocate the company, or who already has your production capabilities, you may want capital equipment to be easily disposable. A competitor or much larger acquirer may want to leave the equipment out of the transaction. In a Main Street business, you may choose to have a strong tangible asset base for an entrepreneurial owner to use when obtaining acquisition financing.

Real Estate: Should you own your building? Some buyers (say a publicly-traded acquirer) prefer to lease space. In that case, owning your building could provide a post-transition income stream in your retirement.

On the other hand, a relocated company could stick the owner/landlord with a special purpose building that requires significant remodeling to be rentable.

These are just a few of the decisions that are better made in the context of your long term plan. The decisions you are making in your business today all have lasting implications.

Reason #3: A Plan is not an Action

youe exit planIf you are taking a long trip, you likely determine the route before you start out. If it is complex, you may print out the directions. Nonetheless, you are still likely to use a wayfinding app to alert you to problems along the way, like traffic jams or construction.

But everyone understands that printing out the directions isn’t the same as beginning the journey. You might take that step days or even weeks before actually getting into your car.

It’s the same with your exit plan. Choosing your time frame and preferred method of transition isn’t the same as making it happen. Writing it down is a key component of preparation, but it shouldn’t be confused with implementation.

Starting Your Exit Plan

Venture capitalists ask an entrepreneur  “What is your exit plan?” because the answer shows that he or she has thought through the implications of their decisions. They have built the business with a purpose beyond merely growing or getting through the next cycle. It shows that the allocation of resources, the selection of personnel, and choices in product and service offerings are coordinated.

There will be obstacles along the way. Your strategy may shift to compensate for new technology or changing market tastes. As the company grows in your chosen direction, you could just be having too much fun to leave on your originally planned date.

But those changes will be conscious. You will see how new factors fit with your plan, and when they don’t. Course adjustments keep the goal in mind. Alternatively, you understand when the goals themselves have to change.

For years, clients have asked me “What should I do to increase the value of my business?” My answer is always the same. “Exactly the same things that you should be doing to improve your business every day.”

Stephen Covey coined the axiom “Begin with the end in mind.” Yogi Berra said “If you don’t know where you are going, you may wind up somewhere else.”

Your exit plan is the road map to your eventual financial security. It doesn’t have to be a huge undertaking. All plans begin with where you are now. You already have the company, the management team, the customers, and the products or services. You’ve likely thought about how you would like to finish. What’s left is just putting the two together.

The sooner you go through the exercise, the sooner your company will be a component of your exit plan, rather than a distraction from it.

John F. Dini, CExP, CEPA is an exit planning coach and the President of MPN Incorporated in San Antonio Texas. He is the publisher of Awake at 2 o’clock, and has authored three books on business ownership. If you want to see how prepared you are for transition, take the 15-minute Assessment at www.YourExitMap.com 

 

 

 

 

Choosing Your Timeframe to Exit

“My timeframe? Talk to me in about five years.”

When business owners are asked about exit planning, that answer is almost ubiquitous. In fact, a much-quoted 2008 survey of owners by Price Waterhouse Coopers (now PwC – not clear why Mr. Waterhouse warranted lower case) found that 85% of private business owners said they expected to sell in five years.

Clearly, that didn’t happen, since it would have required some  1,500 businesses to be sold daily during that period. (The brokerage industry claims about 9,000 sales a year.)

In fact, when the survey results were broken down, they discovered that 85% of 60 year old owners expected to sell in five years. Among 65 year olds, 85% expected to sell in five years. Among 70 year olds, you guessed it, 85% expected to sell in five years.

Clearly, “five years” is most owners’ shorthand for “I haven’t really thought about it.”

Realistic Timeframes

Exit planning and more importantly, implementing a plan, can easily take five years. That doesn’t include the time thinking about it, talking about it, or waiting for someone to call you up and make an offer.

If you are an owner-centric business (for example, a specialty craft where either you do the work or it is all done under your personal supervision,) you exit plan may be to close down. Even so, respect for your customers and employees suggests that discontinuing the business should take about a year.

Main Street businesses are those where another individual could step into your shoes and make a living. Such companies generally sell for less than $2 million. This is the market where business brokers excel. Expect the listing and sale process to take anywhere from nine months to two years. That is after you’ve done any needed clean-up of your records, contracts and procedure documentation.

If you plan to sell to employees without taking on all of the financing risk personally, allow at least three years to bring them into an equity position and document their ability to run the business without you. For most companies, five to eight years is a more realistic timeframe to accomplish this.

Selling to family members who are already capable of running the business is also time sensitive. A family transition can offer unique tax benefits, but the transfer mechanisms usually need at least five years for maximum benefit.

Selling to a family member who is not yet involved in the business is a much more lengthy proposition. I meet regularly with owners in their 60s who claim that a son or daughter in high school will be their successor. That timeframe requires the owner’s presence until well into his or her 70s or beyond.

Planning Isn’t Implementing

It makes little sense to embark on the biggest financial event of a lifetime without planning. However, plans can be made without rushing right into them.

Too many owners start to plan, only to find that the assumptions they’ve held for years aren’t true. Their estimate of value for the business is way off, or the key employee they assumed would take over has little interest in ownership.

Testing a plan for its practicality helps focus you in a specific direction. Does the business need to grow, improve profitability or take on new lines? Who are the buyers for a business of your size, or in your industry?

Investments in new hires and equipment are weighed for their long-term impact more than immediate need. Even if your target date is a decade away, you’ll start making strategic and tactical decisions based on your ultimate goal.

“Read” my latest book in 12 minutes!

Your Exit Map, Navigating the Boomer Bust is now available on Amazon, Barnes & Noble and wherever books are sold. It was ranked the #1 new release in its category on Amazon, and is supplemented by free tools and educational materials at www.YourExitMap.com.

Now, we have a really cool 12 minute animated video from our friends at readitfor.me that summarizes the book, and helps you understand why it is so different from “how to” exit planning tomes. Take some time to check it out here. Thanks!

 

Business Buyers: The “Buy Now, Pay Later” Generation

If you are preparing to sell your business, your buyers will likely be members of the “buy now, pay later” generation. Generation X is the first demographic group to be raised in a culture that put little emphasis on savings.

Diner’s Club was introduced as the first “charge card” in 1960. By the end of that decade competition from member cards (American Express and Carte Blanche) and bank-owned revolving finance cards (MasterCard and Visa) began placing millions of cards in consumers’ hands.

credit-cardIn a competitive credit environment, advertising for the revolving charge cards was directed to the pleasures of paying for something after you already enjoyed the use of it. The struggle of saving for a long time before purchasing was portrayed as foolish and unnecessary. In the 1980s and ’90s Baby Boomers on the quest for material success embraced the concept wholeheartedly.

This is the environment that today’s prime business buyers between the ages of 35 and 50 grew up in. Americans reached the height of “buy now, pay later” just after the turn of the century. In the early 2000s, when Generation Xers were between 28 and 45 (the prime consumption age range) Americans spent about 2% more than they earned annually.

That was a great formula for boosting an economy, but a lousy way to amass capital for investment. That credit-fueled boom died a gruesome death in 2008, and many debt-laden Xers haven’t yet recovered.

These are the buyers for your business. Many have grown up believing that personal financial management consists of parsing a paycheck to allow enough for food after their installment payments. The US savings rate has since recovered to a more normal 5%; much of it fueled by Boomers belatedly preparing for retirement.

If you’ve spent the last 30 years or more building a business worth a million dollars, you need to find one of these folks who has put aside at least $300,000 or so to buy it outright (a down payment to qualify for financing plus initial working capital.) There are such buyers, including escapees from corporate life with substantial retirement plans and those who will be inheriting their parents’ savings.

Most buyers, however, don’t have that kind of money. If you want to realize full value for your business, you may want to think about how to accommodate a “buy now, pay later” approach. A buyer who writes a check is more appealing, but good business logic seldom results in complete dependence on a long-shot strategy.

There are four ways to sell a successful business to folks who have no money. The more time you have to implement a plan, the better its chances of success. In order of my preference they are:

  • Best – Sell to Employees. A five to ten year period is usually sufficient to get a “down payment” (25-35%) into employees’ hands via stock incentives. The best scenario is earning the awards by growing the value of the business. In a strong company, the owner can leave with the full proceeds in his or her pocket, and remain in control until retirement.
  • Better – Hire Your Buyer. This is similar to a sale to employees, but you use the equity plan to recruit a more highly qualified individual than you could otherwise attract. It is better in the sense that the buyer may be stronger, but the time up front to make sure he/she is a good fit represents a risk.
  • Good – Finance the Down Payment. For many lenders, including the SBA, stock sold via a subordinated note can qualify as a down payment. It means you walk away with 65-75% of your money, and leave the rest in the business until the first-position lender is comfortable with the stability of their risk.
  • Worst – Finance the Purchase. This is often the scenario for an owner who waits too long to consider the options. Whether the buyer is an employee or a third-party, you sell the company for a promissory note and hope for the best.

You have options, but they disappear one by one as you get closer to your exit. That’s why we encourage planning. Having a plan in place doesn’t require immediate implementation, but it does help when evaluating opportunities.

For more on Boomers and Buyers, you can download my free eBook Beating the Boomer Bust.

Following my own advice, I am leaving on my biannual sabbatical. Awake at 2 o’clock will resume on November 6th. In the meantime, please share it with another business owner. Thank you.

The 7 Deadly Sins of an Entrepreneur — Reprise

I make no claim that using the Seven Deadly Sins as a metaphor for business behavior is original. Of course, the original concept is a codifying of “undesirable” human behaviors, or sins. The work probably comes from the Latin word sons (guilty). Various sources attribute it to Old English and Hebrew, but since Latin was the language of the church, this seems most likely.

The concept of personifying the seven sins for popular consumption, as I mentioned in the first column in this series, goes back at least to Dante in the early 1300’s. It’s been used regularly in popular fiction including Roald Dahl’s Charlie and the Chocolate Factory (the five golden ticket winners each represent a sin, with Grandpa as Envy and Willie Wonka as Wrath); and in “Sponge Bob Squarepants” (I’ll assume that most readers don’t know the characters well enough to make identification worthwhile.)

gilligans-titlePerhaps the most amusing application was in “Gilligan’s Island.” The seven castaways fill their assignments well. There’s Gilligan (Sloth), the Skipper too (Wrath).  The millionaire (Thurston Howell — Greed) and his wife (Gluttony). The movie star (Ginger — Lust, of course); The professor (Pride) and Mary Ann (Envy), here on Gilligan’s Isle (Hell?)

My apologies if I just stuck that tune in your head for the rest of the day.

When I present “The 7 Sins of an Entrepreneur” to business audiences, they take special delight in identifying their own behaviors. Maybe it’s because they are relieved (“Gee, I only have four.”) or because they are naturally competitive (“Hey, I hit on all seven!”)

What ever the reason, it’s an easy way to organize negative behaviors. Perhaps that’s why it has remained so dominant a concept. Regardless of your failings, they can probably be categorized as one of the seven sins.

Here is a synopsis in order, with the corresponding “virtues” that counteract each.

  • The Operational Sins: Those which reduce your personal effectiveness as an owner and leader.
    • Lust: Allowing whim du jour to drag the company in differing directions. (Counteracting behavior: A Personal Vision.)
    • Gluttony: Hoarding all authority and decision-making for yourself. (Delegation)
  • The Tactical Sins: Those which denigrate the effectiveness of your organization.
    • Sloth: Settling for “good enough.” (Metrics and Benchmarking)
    • Wrath: Using adrenaline to drive performance. (Planning)
    • Greed: Addressing any problem with more effort or more intensity. (Budgeting)
  • The Strategic Sins: Those that prevent long term vision and improvement.
    • Envy: Thinking that no one else has your problems. (Outside advice and knowledge)
    • Pride: Believing that you are the single most important factor in your company. (Exit Strategy)

The sins are addressed in order. Dealing with the Operational Sins allows you to tackle the Tactical problems. Strategic improvement is only possible if you’ve first dealt with Tactical issues.

The Seven Deadly Sins of an Entrepreneur are an excellent mnemonic for considering your own behavior and those of your company.  Keep them in mind as you run your business day-to-day.

If you enjoy “Awake at 2 o’clock,” please share it with other business owners. Thanks for reading!