Exit Planning Tools for Business Owners

Building Value

How Much does the Big Picture Count?

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It is currently difficult to have a business conversation without discussing the Big Picture. The voracious 24-hour news cycle needs plenty of fodder to attract eyeballs. It almost seems like the media must pick and choose what will create the most concern. “Seventeen dead in drone attacks? Let’s put that sixth on the schedule.”

Big Picture Issues

Wars in Ukraine, Israel, and Sudan. Attacks on shipping. Russian hacker ransomware. The battle between the U.S. executive and judicial branches. Tariffs, sanctions, inflation, interest rates, boycotts.

Will the price of raw materials go up? How much will transportation cost next week? Should I load up on inventory—or scale back? Can we raise prices proactively? Will my suppliers raise their prices proactively? Will my customers find alternatives to my products or services?

It almost makes a business owner pine for the days when “mundane” issues like employee retention and customer satisfaction were the primary concerns.

How much weight should a business place on Big Picture issues? If you are a tomato grower in Mexico who ships 100% of your crop to the U.S. and just got hit with a 17% tariff, maybe a lot. But if you are a consumer in the grocery store who just saw Roma tomatoes go from $0.23 each to $0.27 each, perhaps not so much.

If you are an Italian restaurant that consumes 400 pounds of those tomatoes a week, the increase in cost from $0.79 to $0.92 a pound is about $52. Perhaps not enough to change menu prices, but enough to be discussed at the restaurant association meeting.

But Does it Count?

Even when the Big Picture seems to matter, the actual impact may be far smaller than it first appears. If you are a greenhouse tomato grower in Arizona, you probably applaud the tariff. If your gross margin on each pound of tomatoes sold is $0.05, you just narrowed the gap by about one-tenth of a cent. Does that really tip the scales?

Has the Mexican grower truly lost the inherent advantages of lower water and labor costs? Or were those already eroded by the Arizona grower’s automation, climate controls, and proximity to market?

In the final analysis, the biggest impact of the tomato tariff may be the concern it creates—the distraction from focusing on other issues—and the fodder for another news cycle. Then the Mexican grower, the Arizona grower, the restaurateur, the supermarket buyer, and the consumer all go back to what they were doing. They simply have a slightly different set of numbers to work with.

The Advisor’s Role

As advisors to business owners, part of your job is to help them focus on what counts. Whether you are a business consultant, accountant, attorney, or financial planner, you have an obligation to help separate the wheat from the chaff. When it comes to running a successful business, tariffs, sanctions, inflation, and interest rates are often just chaff.

You can help your clients—and solidify your position as a trusted advisor—by guiding them to ask the necessary questions:

  • How much will this really affect your business?
  • Have you run the numbers?
  • Does it require a change in what you do, or how you do it?
  • If a change is called for, will taking immediate action have a substantially greater impact than simply including it in your next planning cycle?

Of course, sometimes the answer to those questions may be yes. More frequently, it will be no. Then you and your client are free to discuss the Big Picture—but without the false urgency that television, social media, and newspapers are trying to foist upon them.

John F. Dini develops transition and succession strategies that allow business owners to exit their companies on their own schedule, with the proceeds they seek and complete control over the process. He takes a coaching approach to client engagements, focusing on helping owners of companies with $1M to $250M in revenue achieve both their desired lifestyles and legacies.

The Exit Planning Fallacy – A Business Owner’s Perspective

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One of the most common sales pitches you might hear from someone claiming to help you “enhance value” goes something like this:

“I’ve reviewed your company and believe it’s worth $4.2 million today. With the right planning, it could be worth $7.7 million. Would you rather exit with $4.2 million or $7.7 million?”

That’s not really a question—it’s a setup. Of course, no business owner would willingly choose the smaller number. But the real issue isn’t which number you prefer. It’s what it actually takes to bridge that gap—and whether you’re being given a full picture.

Are You Falling for the Planning Fallacy?


There’s a psychological term for this overly optimistic way of thinking: the planning fallacy.

A private equity investors group I follow, Chenmark.com, once cited a study published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology that perfectly illustrates the concept:

From a psychological perspective, the planning fallacy can perhaps be studied most profitably at the level of daily activities. Consider one familiar example: Academics who carry home a stuffed briefcase full of work on Fridays, fully intending to complete every task, are often aware that they have never gone beyond the first one or two jobs on any previous weekend.

The intriguing aspect of this phenomenon is the ability of people to hold two seemingly contradictory beliefs: Although aware that most of their previous predictions were overly optimistic, they believe that their current forecasts are realistic. It seems that people can know the past and still be doomed to repeat it.

What’s fascinating is that they know this pattern. Yet, every weekend, they’re sure this time will be different. Business owners do something similar: despite knowing how long things usually take (and how unpredictable growth can be), we still believe “this time” will follow our best-case forecast.

You may hear that big valuation potential and think, “Yes, that’s what I’ve always wanted—to grow the company by 83%! I just needed a plan.”

But a plan alone isn’t enough. It’s a start—but not the whole story.

What Really Closes the Gap?


Let’s reframe that optimistic pitch with a more realistic one:

“To grow from $4.2 million to $7.7 million in five years, you’ll need proper planning, dedicated effort, some strategic hires, and reinvesting a significant portion of your profits. That requires growing the business 19% annually—starting immediately. That’s more than double your best year to date. If you spend a year building that foundation first, then you’d need to grow at least 25% annually over the next four years. If you keep growing at your best year’s rate of 7.5%, it will take over 12 years to reach that goal.”

Those are the facts. And the reality is that very few business owners hit those growth rates without serious changes—and trusted advisors to help them.

The Power of Perspective (and the Right Guide)


You may have a solid company. It supports your lifestyle, your employees, and your reputation. Maybe you’ve even dreamed of taking it further. But the risks, the effort, or the lack of a clear roadmap have held you back.

That’s exactly where experienced advisors come in—not to promise easy gains, but to help you map a realistic path to your goals. They help align what you want (your proceeds), with what you’re willing to do (your effort), in the time you have left (your exit timeline).

In our work, we use a Value Gap coaching model that considers four essential pieces:

1. Current business value
2. Your desired outcome—not just “more,” but a specific number
3. The timeframe in which you want to exit
4. The required growth rate to get there

Often, once those last two are on the table, the conversation changes. It’s not just about the money—it’s about what you’re willing and able to do to get there.

The real planning fallacy? Believing it’s just about hitting a number. The truth is, getting the outcome you want depends on understanding the full picture—and working with an advisor who helps you navigate it honestly, strategically, and with clarity.

John F. Dini develops transition and succession strategies that allow business owners to exit their companies on their own schedule, with the proceeds they seek and complete control over the process. He takes a coaching approach to client engagements, focusing on helping owners of companies with $1M to $250M in revenue achieve both their desired lifestyles and legacies.

What is a Certified Business Valuation and When Do I Need One?

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man pointing to a set of scales filled with money

A Certified Business Valuation is a comprehensive assessment conducted by a qualified professional to determine the fair market value of a business. It involves a systematic analysis of various factors such as financial statements, industry trends, market conditions, company assets, intellectual property, customer base, and other relevant aspects to estimate the worth of a business.

You may need a Certified Business Valuation in several situations, including:

Selling or Buying a Business: When you’re involved in a business sale or acquisition, a valuation helps determine a fair asking price or offer, ensuring both parties understand the business’s value.

Obtaining Financing: When seeking a loan or financing for your business, lenders often require a valuation to assess the value of the company and its ability to generate cash flow to repay the loan.

Partnership Dissolution: If you’re part of a dissolving business partnership, a valuation is essential to determine the fair value of each partner’s share and facilitate a smooth division of assets.

Estate Planning: Business valuations are necessary when planning for estate taxes or distributing business assets as part of an inheritance. A valuation helps establish the value of the business for tax purposes and ensures a fair distribution among beneficiaries.

Shareholder Disputes: In case of disagreements among shareholders, a valuation can be conducted to determine the value of shares or ownership interests, aiding in resolving disputes or facilitating a buyout.

Financial Reporting: Valuations may be required for financial reporting purposes, such as complying with accounting standards or fulfilling regulatory requirements.

Litigation or Dispute Resolution: During legal proceedings like divorce settlements, bankruptcy, or insurance claims, a certified valuation can provide an objective assessment of the business’s value, serving as evidence in court.

It’s important to note that the specific circumstances and requirements for a Certified Business Valuation may vary based on jurisdiction and the purpose for which it is being conducted. Consulting with a qualified business valuator or professional accountant can help you determine when and how to obtain a valuation tailored to your needs.

Pat Ennis is the President of ENNIS Legacy Partners. The mission of ELP is to help business owners build value and exit on their own terms and conditions.

Impressions of Value in Exit Planning

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Business owners, advisors, and buyers frequently have widely different impressions of value when it comes to a business.

The Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Survey canvasses intermediaries who sell privately held Main Street and mid-market companies. One question is about the obstacles that prevented the sale of a business. The number one response is “Owners’ unreasonable expectations of value.”

That may be self-serving or an excuse. Nonetheless, valuation is a sensitive subject. Many owners have worked in the business for 30 or 40 years. They assume it will fund their next 20 years of retirement. Their target price is set only by their desired lifestyle after the business.

Different Values for the Same Business

Unfortunately, many owners have an opinion about the value of their business that is grounded in the multiples of public companies. Others are based on conversations with colleagues, salespeople, and articles in their trade publications.

Impressions of valueEven those who have professional appraisals of their business may not understand that the purpose for getting your valuation may skew the results. Valuations that are done for estate planning or internal transfers of equity often have little resemblance to a company’s fair market value.

Various people including H.L. Hunt and Ted Turner have said “Money is just a way of keeping score.” For many owners, the emotional tie between the perceived value of their company and their self-image of success is closely connected.

Some advisors skirt this issue by recommending that their clients get a professional opinion of the fair market value of the business. While this is certainly a safe approach, it can take substantial time. It also requires considerable assembly of the underlying data for the appraiser. This can slow down any consulting project considerably and may derail it entirely.

Impressions of Value

A coaching approach helps the owner understand the practical boundaries surrounding the value of the company without either dictating to him or taking the project in a tangential direction. We do that by helping the client model “lendable value.”

We start by explaining that most businesses are valued by their cash flow. There are certainly many areas where value can be enhanced. These include intellectual property, exclusive rights to a product, protected sales territory or long-term contracts. Owner Centricity™ or customer concentration can also reduce the fair market pricing of your business. In the final analysis, however, cash flow to pay an acquisition loan is of principal concern to a lender.

SBA minimums for financing include a cash-to-debt service ratio (1.25 to 1) and required owner compensation – usually $75,000 a year for acquisitions under $500,000 and twice that for larger deals. While not all lenders follow SBA guidelines, they are a useful national baseline for looking at your value.

The company may well be worth what you think it is, but finding a lender to finance it is a different problem. Understanding a lender’s impression of value before starting sale negotiations can save you considerable time and negotiation down the road.

John F. Dini develops transition and succession strategies that allow business owners to exit their companies on their own schedule, with the proceeds they seek and complete control over the process. He takes a coaching approach to client engagements, focusing on helping owners of companies with $1M to $250M in revenue achieve both their desired lifestyles and legacies.

“Work From Anywhere” Comes Full Circle

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Work from anywhere has been a necessity, an epithet, an obstacle, and an opportunity over the last 3 years. To paraphrase Aristotle’s axiom about Nature (“Horror Vacui”), business abhors a vacuum. Where one occurs, it is quickly filled.

Work from anywhere started as a COVID-induced necessity. During the lockdowns of 2020-2021 (and longer in some places) we all had a crash course in video calling, VPNs, and virtual meetings.

Employees quickly expanded the definition of anywhere. They tired of shunting the children off to a bedroom during conference calls, or using office-like backdrops to hide their kitchen cabinets. Soon they began changing their backgrounds to something more aspirational, like a mountain cabin or a scenic lake.

From there it wasn’t much of a leap to make the mental shift from a make-believe environment to a physical one. Pretty soon employees were calling in from real mountain cabins. In many cases, they shifted to someplace where the cost of living was much lower than in their former metropolitan workspace.

Work from Anywhere as an epithet and an obstacle

As employees moved further afield from their office environment, bosses began to sound off. “We aren’t going to pay Los Angeles wages to someone who has a Boise cost of living,” was a commonly heard complaint.  Most put up with it because qualified help was getting harder to find. Hiring remotely was too hard a new skill to master.

The complaints of employers grew louder as they began to ask employees to return to their former location of working activity. They made arguments about deteriorating corporate culture or a lack of mentoring opportunities.

At the same time, stories surfaced about workers who were getting full-time paychecks from multiple employers, or who were “quiet quitting” by doing as little as possible. The “Great Resignation” forced many organizations to put up with it. If you wanted to keep employees, you needed to accommodate their demands.

Then the work-from-anywhere poaching started. If an employee could do the job from a thousand miles away, why not just hire people from a thousand miles away? Now recruiters could dangle Los Angeles wages at candidates from Boise. Many employers saw work from anywhere as a curse costing them their best talent.

Work from Anywhere as an Opportunity

But as I said at the outset, business abhors a vacuum. Every action has a reaction. When the job can be done from anywhere, does that mean anywhere?

work from anywhereIf the higher cost of living centers can fill their needs by hiring people who are accustomed to earning less, why shouldn’t employers look at those candidates before the local talent? The Internet allows almost-instant communication across countries, what about across oceans?

In the last few months, I’ve worked with employers who are hiring accountants in India, staffing recruiters in the Philippines, programmers in Argentina, support techs in Colombia, and screening nurses in Nicaragua.  None of these employers are multinationals. Each one fits the SBA’s definition of a small business.

Their new employees are educated, English speaking, have the same hours as the employer, and are thrilled for the opportunity. Some are hired directly through a local placement agency. Others work for an organization in their home country that makes them exclusive to the client and promises to replace them if needed.

Most of the wages appear to be about 50% more than the same job would pay in the country of residence, and roughly half of what the position in the U.S. would cost.

Business has once again filled a vacuum. I wonder what is next?
 
John F. Dini develops transition and succession strategies that allow business owners to exit their companies on their own schedule, with the proceeds they seek and complete control over the process. He takes a coaching approach to client engagements, focusing on helping owners of companies with $1M to $250M in revenue achieve both their desired lifestyles and legacies.